Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.202377 0.234943 0.271108 0.314257 0.364357 0.420721 0.488987
2025-05-11 0.150363 0.193491 0.246524 0.316588 0.406831 0.519325 0.670498
2025-05-18 0.120788 0.166830 0.227558 0.313626 0.432719 0.592084 0.822248
2025-05-25 0.098746 0.144453 0.208272 0.304047 0.444536 0.643729 0.948875
2025-06-01 0.087356 0.134325 0.203226 0.311901 0.479617 0.729701 1.133016
2025-06-08 0.076817 0.123486 0.195029 0.312993 0.503499 0.800651 1.302448
2025-06-15 0.069295 0.116002 0.190541 0.318533 0.533989 0.884201 1.501079
2025-06-22 0.060689 0.105453 0.179579 0.311707 0.542792 0.932954 1.647487
2025-06-29 0.054203 0.097522 0.171780 0.308856 0.557340 0.992093 1.817936
2025-07-06 0.049442 0.091932 0.167185 0.310768 0.580017 1.067254 2.025406
2025-07-13 0.047176 0.090521 0.169722 0.325696 0.627825 1.192510 2.340465
2025-07-20 0.044573 0.088120 0.170085 0.336436 0.668774 1.309323 2.653398
2025-07-27 0.041866 0.085277 0.169447 0.345497 0.708256 1.429317 2.991139
2025-08-03 0.038666 0.081073 0.165693 0.347936 0.734900 1.527442 3.297917
2025-08-10 0.035262 0.076009 0.159583 0.344681 0.749162 1.601675 3.563323
2025-08-17 0.031580 0.069900 0.150587 0.334142 0.746448 1.639653 3.754120
2025-08-24 0.029970 0.068083 0.150436 0.342782 0.786698 1.774746 4.180086
2025-08-31 0.027907 0.064999 0.147161 0.343984 0.810225 1.875324 4.539054
2025-09-07 0.026406 0.063017 0.146094 0.350078 0.845705 2.007019 4.988709
2025-09-14 0.024099 0.058864 0.139598 0.342569 0.847873 2.061000 5.255244
2025-09-21 0.022305 0.055734 0.135139 0.339432 0.860278 2.140826 5.596896
2025-09-28 0.020992 0.053635 0.132907 0.341536 0.886002 2.256269 6.045313
2025-10-05 0.020588 0.053777 0.136171 0.357958 0.950368 2.476361 6.799223